Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:59AM EST on Jan 01, 2021

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com and Smarkets

Next PresidentPresidential Winner 2020

$180,642,086 bet so far

Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎94.2-94.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧92.4-93.2%


Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎5.7-5.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.0-7.6%


Electoral College (estimate: 306-232. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:51AM EST on Jan 01, 2021
Over $1 million bet. Betting is from PredictIt. FTX.com and Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
Senate Control 2021Bets on which party will control senate after the Jan 5 runoff elections in Georgia

$1,270,103 bet so far

REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎59.6-59.7%
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.3-61.3%


DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎40.2-40.3%
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.6-40.6%



Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute


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