Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:31PM EST on Nov 18, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$7,145,641 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧68.0-68.5%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸67.0-68.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧68.5-69.4%$655,286

68.2%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.7-23.6%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$655,286

16.0%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.2%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.9-6.9%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.7-4.0%$655,286

4.2%

-0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$655,286

1.1%

-0.2%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$5,610,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$655,286

0.8%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$655,286

0.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$655,286

0.6%

-0.1%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$5,610,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$655,286

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$655,286

0.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,610,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$879,397
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$655,286

0.1%

+0.0%

8.0%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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