Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:28PM EST on Nov 18, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$10,344,475 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧37.0-37.3%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧36.5-37.9%$1,890,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$181,881

37.2%

0.2%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧28.2-28.6%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧30.3-30.8%$1,890,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$181,881

29.0%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.1%$1,890,028

10.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.1%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$1,890,028

6.8%

-0.2%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.7%$1,890,028

3.7%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$1,890,028

2.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,890,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$181,881

2.5%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.7%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$1,890,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$181,881

1.7%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,890,028

1.1%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$8,273,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$1,890,028

0.7%

+0.0%

3.9%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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